Tuesday, October 26th, 2010
Innovation Communities, Social Predictive Analytics, and Employee-Driven Insight

I read this article about leveraging employee ideas in The Wall Street Journal a few months ago that accentuates the value of employee input for successful innovation. It stuck with me because I’ve been thinking about how our innovation management platform automates their concept.

The WSJ piece floats the idea of innovation communities:

Companies that have successfully made innovation part of their regular continuing strategy did so by harnessing the creative energies and the insights of their employees across functions and ranks. That’s easy to say. But how, exactly, did they do it? One powerful answer, we found, is in what we like to call innovation communities.

Every company does it a little differently, but innovation communities typically grow from a seed planted by senior management—a desire for a new product, market or business process. A forum of employees then work together to make desire a reality.

Innovation communities tackle projects too big, too risky and too expensive to be pursued by individual operating units. They can be created with little additional cost, because no consultants are needed. After all, those in the midst of the fray already know most of the details relevant to the project.

We think innovation communities are a neat concept, but we also think you don’t need management overhead to create an innovation community; they already exist! Prediction markets provide another way to tap into innovative ideas from employees. Our Foresight platform has helped a number of customers create organization-wide innovation communities who participate in a prediction market, prioritizing ideas and then driving the best ones to the top of the list.

And this is what social predictive analytics is all about. Our platform unleashes employees in an already social environment and produces analytics provide forecasting guidance. Executives wind up with forward-looking indicators helping to identify real-time emerging risks and trends in demand management, innovation management, and major initiatives. And that’s why we have so many satisfied customers.

We suspect you’ve already got an innovation community. When you’re ready to deploy Foresight to harness social predictive analytics, let us know.

Friday, October 22nd, 2010
Brian Hogue Joins Consensus Point as VP, Products

Consensus Point CEO Linda Rebrovick announced today that Brian Hogue has joined the enterprise software company as Vice President of Products. “With dozens of leading companies having achieved success with Foresight, we’re confident in our technology as a platform,” said Rebrovick. “We’re delighted that we’re joined by someone with Brian’s skills and experience to leverage the opportunities for proven predictive analytics products.”

Brian has over 15 years of experience delivering technology solutions. He has held a range of technology leadership positions in health care, public policy and digital publishing. Most recently he played a significant leadership role in developing Ingram Digital’s industry leading eBook asset management and distribution platform.

Hogue’s primary responsibilities will be to guide product strategy, drive product innovation from concept through general release, to oversee the software as a service (SaaS) implementation environments, and to lead interface development and integration with Consensus Point customers and partners. Foresight, the prediction markets and social analytics platform created by Consensus Point, is in its sixth major release. Hogue will oversee the launch of the seventh major release, which is currently in development.
 
About Consensus Point: Consensus Point, a Nashville-based company, offers Foresight, a leading social predictive analytics solution providing forward-looking indicators to identify real-time emerging risks and trends in demand management, innovation management, and major initiatives.

Thursday, September 30th, 2010
Crowdsourcing 2.0: Crowd Accelerated Innovation

Regular readers of this blog know that we’re fans of James Surowiecki and the popularization of the concept of crowdsourcing. And as creators of an innovation management platform—Foresight—we also monitor rich sources of innovation like TED. This year, Chris Anderson introduced us to the concept of crowd accelerated innovation.

Seth Godin has nicely summarized and extended the thesis of Chris’s talk:

The idea is one of those big ones, a simple one that will stick with you for a long time… Online video radically changes the reach and speed of the improvement cycle. Things like dance, snowboarding and TED talks keep getting better, and faster, because artists see the best and improve on it. Even more than that, it requires you to top what’s out there, or you’ll be ignored.

Now it’s our turn because we have a slightly different take. Chris’s talk focuses on how web video is accelerating the interpretive and creative process for people the world over. His examples are strong enough that we’re inclined to agree, but it’s not just video; it’s ideas. YouTube provided a remarkable interactive market for web video. Uploading and viewing were just the beginning. Now video is being recut, reedited, and remixed to create new movie trailers, music videos, and tutorials.

Our Foresight platform provides the same, fully participatory experience for our customers who leverage it. The crowds of employees who become participants in our customers’ markets are getting better at their jobs, sometimes because of the extent of web video. They’re digesting and communicating ideas all the time. And there’s no way that a single manager or even a top management team can possibly distill from the creative energy the best ideas with enough guidance to know what’s best, when it should be applied, and how soon it will work without help. Foresight is that help. It’s an example of managed crowd accelerated innovation.

After you’ve honed your dance skills from YouTube (in your office with the door closed, presumably) and you want to accelerate innovation in the enterprise, you’ll want to contact us.

Tuesday, September 28th, 2010
On the Productivity of Knowledge Workers

We were reading a recent article in the McKinsey Quarterly, and there’s no reason to restate their kickoff question; better to repeat it verbatim: Are you doing all that you can to enhance the productivity of your knowledge workers? According to the authors, Eric Matson and Laurence Prusak, few executives have a good answer.

Some of the issues involved in knowledge work and knowledge worker productivity caught our eye:

  • knowledge workers are those “… whose jobs consist primarily of interactions”
  • knowledge work “involves more diverse and amorphous tasks”
  • “performance metrics are hard to come by in knowledge work”
  • “knowledge workers spend half their time on interactions”
  • “complex interactions often require contact with people in other departments or divisions, making it hard for workers to asses a colleague’s level of expertise or apply the advice they may receive

A few of the solutions mentioned by the authors include creating “communities of practice,” leveraging online tools and social networking tools to supplement occasional in-person meetings for the purpose of building relationships. Another was technical forums where specialists can learn about one another’s work with the goal of building trust.

We couldn’t help but think of another: Foresight. Our platform naturally creates communities in an organization and contributes to building trust through person-to-person interaction within the framework of a highly interactive market. Many of our customers report that their employees enjoy participation in an implementation of our platform, and the results they achieve speak to the productivity and efficiency gains enjoyed.

If you’d like a better answer to the question of how well you’re managing the productivity of your knowledge workers, we suggest you contact us.

Tuesday, September 14th, 2010
The Results Are In: McKinsey Global Survey on Innovation and Commercialization

As companies begin to focus on growth, innovation has once again become a priority, based on a recent McKinsey Global Survey. While 84% of executives say innovation is extremely or very important to their companies’ growth strategy, many of the challenges—finding the right talent, encouraging collaboration and risk taking, organizing the innovation process from beginning to end—are remarkably consistent.

The authors offer some suggestions on how companies can be more successful at innovation: “In particular, they can formalize processes for setting priorities and commercializing products and integrate innovation into their strategic-planning efforts.”

That’s where Foresight can help:

  • Foresight can enable improved innovation processes and tactics, by uncovering gaps in processes.
  • Foresight can accelerate the time to review good ideas, by 50% or more.
  • Strategic planning and innovation are both aided with the type of forecasting guidance and collective thought leadership offered by Foresight, enabling improved business impact.

A key graf on trends and challenges:

The results also show that the approach companies use to generate good ideas and turn them into products and services has changed little since before the crisis, and not because executives thought what they were doing worked perfectly. Further, many of the challenges—finding the right talent, encouraging collaboration and risk taking, organizing the innovation process from beginning to end—are remarkably consistent. Indeed, surveys over the past few years suggest that the core barriers to successful innovation haven’t changed, and companies have made little progress in surmounting them.

Gartner’s much-reviewed Hype Cycle shows prediction markets progressing toward mainstream adoption. We’re expecting that this signal of maturity means that they will continue to make game-changers out of the companies that employ them as innovation management tools.

After all, the authors of the summary are optimistic:

More positively, the results also suggest some ways that companies can become more successful at innovation. In particular, they can formalize processes for setting priorities and commercializing products and integrate innovation into their strategic-planning efforts.

Here’s where our Foresight platform stands to benefit survey respondents most:

Another consistent pattern is that far fewer respondents say their companies are good at the specific processes and tactics frequently tied to successful innovation—such as generating breakthrough ideas, selecting the right ideas, prototyping, and developing business cases. Respondents say their companies are best at adapting once they’re in the market, with 58 percent claiming to be successful. As in the past, executives have the most difficulty stopping ideas at the right time, with only 26 percent of respondents to this survey saying they do this well.

If you were one of the 2,240 executives who responded to McKinsey’s survey and expressed anything less than confidence about your company’s abilities in innovation management, it’s time we heard from you.

Tuesday, September 7th, 2010
Let Your Employees Innovate with Foresight

We just wrote about the innovator’s dilemma. As if rolling out the strategic business case for our Foresight platform, the Wall Street Journal followed their excerpt from the latest edition of their management guide—“The End of Management”—with a piece on leveraging employee innovation. In large organizations, employees are a crowd with considerable wisdom. And Foresight offers executives a sophisticated tool for innovation management.

J.C. Spender and Bruce Strong suggest “innovation communities” as a solution to harvesting employee innovation. Implementations of Foresight involve participants—often employees—in a market process that functions as an innovation community.

Dr. Spender and Mr. Strong’s ideal innovation communities include seven key characteristics:

  • Create the space to innovate.
  • Get a broad variety of viewpoints.
  • Create a conversation between senior management and participants.
  • Participants should be pulled to join, not pushed.
  • Tapping unused talent and energy keeps product-development costs low.
  • Collateral benefits can be as important as the innovations themselves.
  • Measurement is key.

If you’d like to see an example of such an innovation community among our many customer successes, take a look at what Motorola accomplished using Foresight. We’re further expanding this concept through our partnership with Brightidea and their WebStorm interface. If you’re ready to create an innovation community within your organization, so are we.

Wednesday, September 1st, 2010
Trends from Jane McConnell’s 2010 Global Intranet Strategies Survey

The 5th annual Global Intranet Strategies Survey just closed. Jane McConnell, its creator, gleaned some important insights even before it closed. To our eye, she saves the best for last: prediction markets appear to be emerging in the enterprise.

The trends Ms. McConnell identified are worth reprinting in their entirety:

  • Mobile optimization is not happening very fast. There has been no evolution since last year’s survey: Only 7% say their intranet is optimized for mobile access, 24% are running pilots or are in the planning stages. This is identical to last year.
  • Social media is advancing inside. It is implemented to some extent in 70 % of the organizations, up 10 % points from last year. Out of these, 20 % have had social media for less than one year, and over 25% have had it for 3 or more years.
  • Enterprises are looking outwards…. 40% say “We create official, branded spaces on external networking platforms such as Facebook.” But most are still being cautious….and only 11% say “We encourage employees to blog on the internet.”
  • Collaboration is now “self-service” for some. Out of 276 organizations with blogs, wikis and/or collaborative spaces, approximately 40% provide a self-service solution where people can do it themselves with no or minimal help desk support. However, from 45 to 55% say that only IT can open these spaces.
  • Are prediction markets emerging? 10% of the participating organizations already have them. Another 7% are in the pilot or planning stages. Last year, the highest we had were 3% who were testing prediction markets.

Keep in mind, an intranet is the network that is built inside an organization, frequently for the purposes of communication, project management, sales process, etc. When we implement our Foresight platform, it is often in the context of an intranet.

The final insight about prediction markets tracks nicely with Gartner’s latest edition of their Hype Cycle for Social Software, in which prediction markets were clearly maturing. We’re anxiously awaiting the final results of the survey. In the meantime, isn’t it time your organization set up a pilot?

Saturday, August 28th, 2010
Foresight: A Solution to the Innovator’s Dilemma

According to an adapted excerpt from the recently published The Wall Street Journal Essential Guide to Management, The Innovator’s Dilemma is an influential book among several major CEOs. For executives who are concerned that they’ll miss “disruptive innovations that opened up new customers and markets for lower-margin, blockbuster products,” we’ve got a solution: Foresight.

Adding a bit more context from Alan Murray’s piece:

Even the best-managed companies aren’t protected from this destructive clash between whirlwind change and corporate inertia. When I asked members of The Wall Street Journal’s CEO Council, a group of chief executives who meet each year to deliberate on issues of public interest, to name the most influential business book they had read, many cited Clayton Christensen’s “The Innovator’s Dilemma.” That book documents how market-leading companies have missed game-changing transformations in industry after industry—computers (mainframes to PCs), telephony (landline to mobile), photography (film to digital), stock markets (floor to online)—not because of “bad” management, but because they followed the dictates of “good” management. They listened closely to their customers. They carefully studied market trends. They allocated capital to the innovations that promised the largest returns. And in the process, they missed disruptive innovations that opened up new customers and markets for lower-margin, blockbuster products.

Information is being generated at ever increasing speeds. Executives hoping to draw lessons from those profiled by Christensen would do well to realize that thought leadership is all around them. Our Foresight platform facilitates innovation management by extracting collective thought leadership from throughout (and, if the business case requires it, beyond) the corporation.

More Murray:

Information gathering also needs to be broader and more inclusive. Former Procter & Gamble CEO A.G. Lafley’s demand that the company cull product ideas from outside the company, rather than developing them all from within, was a step in this direction. (It even has a website for submitting ideas.) The new model will have to go further. New mechanisms will have to be created for harnessing the “wisdom of crowds.” Feedback loops will need to be built that allow products and services to constantly evolve in response to new information. Change, innovation, adaptability, all have to become orders of the day.

We have the “new mechanism.” For us, it’s not new. It’s a stable, mature platform in its sixth major release with several examples of customer success to show for it.

We’re working hard to ensure that executives are equipped and thereby empowered to solve enterprise problems in important domains:

  • forecasting, where Foresight offers strong guidance capabilities
  • brand identity and brand development
  • innovative disruptions

Over the coming months, we’ll be exploring ways that today’s executives can demonstrate collective thought leadership. If you need a solution to the innovator’s dilemma, give us a call.

Monday, August 23rd, 2010
New Hype (Cycle) from Gartner: Prediction Markets on the Rise

Gartner has released their Hype Cycle for Social Software, 2010 report. We agree that the interest and meaningful use of prediction markets are on the rise. In addition, Sherrilynne Starkie has an excellent summary of the identified trends.

She identifies two of our strengths in trends on the rise:

Idea Marketplaces: enable organisations to source innovative ideas, technologies, products and services by connecting them to innovators and solution providers from around the world.

Social Analytics: the process of measuring, analysing and interpreting the results of interactions between brands and consumers and/or businesses across digital channels in the context of specific goals and objectives.

Sliding into Gartner’s infamous Trough of Disillusionment, though, are prediction markets, sandwiched in between mobile social networks (aka Facebook) and unified communications (aka IP telephony and video conferencing):

Prediction Markets: are speculative markets created for the purpose of making predictions. Assets are created whose final cash value is tied to a particular event (e.g., will the next US president be a Republican) or parameter (e.g., total sales next quarter). The current market prices can then be interpreted as predictions of the probability of the event or the expected value of the parameter. Prediction markets are thus structured as betting exchanges, without any risk for the bookmaker.

We agree that prediction markets are maturing, and our customers continue to use our versatile platform to make better decisions earlier. We’re glad Gartner is conducting detailed analysis of this important enterprise software domain, and support the forward movement towards mainstream business use. We also know the importance of services and already offer them to our customers—something that Gartner projects does not happen until technologies reach the slope of enlightenment.

Fortunately, the versatility of our Foresight platform—which allows for idea management, social analytics, and decision markets—has us and our customers and partners optimistic about the future.

Thursday, July 8th, 2010
NashvillePost.com Interviews Consensus Point CEO Linda Rebrovick

Our CEO, Linda Rebrovick, recently sat down with Erin Lawley of the well-regarded NashvillePost.com for an interview. Erin summarized the function of our Foresight platform nicely but also got Linda talking about our important role in the Nashville technology corridor.

Erin on what we do:

Consensus Point companies — clients include General Electric, Best Buy and Qualcomm — can post a question to the online market, such as whether a particular project will be completed on time. Participants then can answer the question, betting a certain number of points on an outcome depending on their confidence level. Correct answers return more points, lead to higher standings on the market’s leader board and possibly other rewards or incentives for the participants while helping executives more effectively manage the business.

And an excellent first Q&A:

How do prediction markets differ from other types of forecasting models or decision tools used in business today?

Traditionally, all these prediction models are algorithms that take historical patterns that say this is what happened in the past, and we’re going to extrapolate that this pattern will continue in the future. That’s how forecasting systems have worked forever. And they’re very successful when you have a historical pattern.

What they can’t do is detect early-warning indicators that, while this has always happened in the past, something’s changed. So that’s the power of what we have, the ability to be your eyes and ears on the ground  every minute, minute by minute. So as the leader of a company, I know I’ve got the facts as they stand today as I’m trying to make a decision.

Other good questions:

  • What is the user experience like for market participants?
  • What incentives do companies use to encourage participation and correct answers?
  • Do you have any good examples of how a prediction market has helped one of your customers?

For Linda’s answers, go read the whole interview. But we’ll leave you with her thoughts on our local impact:

We’ve got to get more companies like this in Nashville. This is a traditional California company. The California [venture capitalists] understand these companies and put money behind them. The California companies network the executives and help each other get into other [opportunities]. We don’t yet have that here.

I was chair of the Nashville Technology Council, and I’m on the Nashville Entrepreneurship board. I’m trying to get us to become a hub of some sort as it relates to new and exciting innovative social media and enterprise 2.0 technology. This is the next wave, and we ought to have these companies in Nashville.

It’s fun to be at an exciting technology company with a great CEO! Especially fun because we have great customers. If you’d like to become a great customer, contact us.

 
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