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	<title>Prediction Markets Blog &#187; Rami Levy</title>
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	<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog</link>
	<description>News and opinion about prediction markets and collective intelligence.</description>
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		<title>Organizational Change Needed to Innovate</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/organizational-change-needed-to-innovate</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/organizational-change-needed-to-innovate#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jun 2011 17:34:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Consensus Point</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fortune 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front End of Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Kotter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=1003</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In John Kotter’s <a href="http://frontendofinnovation.blogspot.com/2011/05/calling-for-change-not-creativity-as.html">recent post for the Front End of Innovation blog</a>, he addresses the need for an organizational shift in thought if companies are to be successful at innovating.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In John Kotter’s <a href="http://frontendofinnovation.blogspot.com/2011/05/calling-for-change-not-creativity-as.html">recent post for the Front End of Innovation blog</a>, he addresses the need for an organizational shift in thought if companies are to be successful at innovating.  His solution: </p>
<blockquote><p>Leaders need to articulate a big, meaningful opportunity that all employees &#8212; not just product development or R&#038;D &#8212; can get energized about and play an integral part in achieving. This opportunity is about more than increasing bottom line revenue; it represents a chance for the organization to do something with greater external impact.</p></blockquote>
<p>At Consensus Point, we agree wholeheartedly with this model of engaging the larger community by rallying them around a greater cause. Employee engagement is a critical piece of the innovation puzzle and one that must be solved using several different approaches. Simply introducing a new software or paying lip service to a change in thought is not enough to make change happen. Real change takes hard work and commitment from organizational leaders.  </p>
<p>After years of working with Fortune 500 clients, Consensus Point knows what it takes to create employee engagement:</p>
<ol>
<li>Frequent communication from senior management in the form of emails, mentions in meetings, acknowledgement of the participants.</li>
<li>Frequent communication of the insights and ideas that are being generated and used by the organization.</li>
<li>Clear metrics for managers.</li>
<li>A fun gaming element to the experience with recognition and incentives built in.</li>
</ol>
<p>Consensus Point friend and client, Rami Levy of Motorola, who was a recent keynote speaker at the Front End of Innovation Conference in Boston, puts these ideas into practice. <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#motorola">Motorola’s prediction market</a> has improved Motorola’s time to market and increased speed at which the company is able to gather ideas. </p>
<p>If you would like to learn more about how Consensus Point’s Foresight technology helped Motorola and find out more about engaging your employees in the innovation process, <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/request/">click here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Motorola&#8217;s Rami Levy to Keynote at FEI 2011</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/motorolas-rami-levy-to-keynote-at-fei-2011</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/motorolas-rami-levy-to-keynote-at-fei-2011#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 May 2011 17:12:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Consensus Point</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front End of Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIX]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=994</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Our long-time customer and thought leader, Rami Levy, Distinguished member of Open Source Technology,  Motorola, will discuss the Motorola Innovation process, including their TIX decision market powered by Consensus Point at the Front End of Innovation (FEI) Conference in Boston, MA, on May 18. Rami will participate <a href="http://www.iirusa.com/feiusa/agenda-at-a-glance.xml">on the Keynote Panel, Exploring the Knowledge Ratio for Open Innovation</a> at 11:30 am.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Our long-time customer and thought leader, Rami Levy, Distinguished member of Open Source Technology,  Motorola, will discuss the Motorola Innovation process, including their TIX decision market powered by Consensus Point at the Front End of Innovation (FEI) Conference in Boston, MA, on May 18. Rami will participate <a href="http://www.iirusa.com/feiusa/agenda-at-a-glance.xml">on the Keynote Panel, Exploring the Knowledge Ratio for Open Innovation</a> at 11:30 am.</p>
<p>Motorola has been utilizing Consensus Point software for the 4 years as a major tool in its innovation pipeline and has realized 8 to 10x ROI in the innovation process cost along with the acceleration of ideas to market from 180 to 80 days!  To find out more about how Motorola has used our powerful software, <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#motorola.">click here</a>.</p>
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		<title>Consensus Point Customers Present at Front End of Innovation</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/consensus-point-customers-present-at-front-end-of-innovation</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/consensus-point-customers-present-at-front-end-of-innovation#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 May 2010 15:38:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rebecca Munn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front End of Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ingenix]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Surowiecki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Wisdom of Crowds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tina Brown-Stevenson]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=677</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last week, we attended the Front End of Innovation conference in Boston. We went in part because the agenda looked interesting but also because we were pleased and proud to see two of our customers—Tina Brown-Stevenson of Ingenix and Rami Levy of Motorola—as presenters/panelists. Unfortunately for us, their sessions were scheduled at the same time...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Last week, we attended the <a href="http://www.iirusa.com/feiusa/fei-home.xml">Front End of Innovation</a> conference in Boston. We went in part because <a href="http://www.iirusa.com/feiusa/at-a-glance.xml">the agenda</a> looked interesting but also because we were pleased and proud to see two of our customers—Tina Brown-Stevenson of <a href="http://www.ingenix.com/">Ingenix</a> and Rami Levy of <a href="http://www.motorola.com/">Motorola</a>—as presenters/panelists.</p>
<p>We enjoyed Tina&#8217;s presentation on prediction markets, and we&#8217;re glad that someone <a href="http://frontendofinnovation.blogspot.com/2010/05/fei2010-prediction-markets.html">reported back</a> to the FEI blog about her presentation:</p>
<blockquote><p>In a solid <em>FEI Champions</em> presentation to complement James Surowiecki’s keynote address, practitioner Tina Brown-Stevenson, Sr. VP Innovation and Information Group at Ingenix, talked through the implementation of a prediction market at Ingenix. As a lead-in to the details of the specific practical application developed at Ingenix, Ms. Brown-Stevenson drew upon examples from Mr. Surowiecki’s book The Wisdom of Crowds to outline the foundational philosophical elements for Ingenix’s overall approach.</p></blockquote>
<p>We won&#8217;t complain when a neutral third party favorably compares us to Surowiecki. Tina shared some findings from several prediction market uses and confirmed that the size of the crowd is not what is important— as markets can be accurate with as few as 24 participants. Tina confirmed what Surowiecki talks about in his book— it is the independence and diversity of the crowd that enables prediction markets to be on average more accurate than a subject matter expert. Tina also shared the Ingenix approach to adjusting the interface to their constituent needs. While many public companies, such as <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#bestbuy">Best Buy</a> and <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#motorola">Motorola</a>, have found the traditional stock metaphor to be adopted well within their cultures, we adjusted the Ingenix interface to something easily understandable for Ingenix participants, both internal and external. Demonstrates the flexibility of <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/solutions/">our Foresight platform</a>!</p>
<p>For Rami&#8217;s presentation, he shared his notes with us from the panel on innovation adoption. He described Motorola&#8217;s idea collection system and explained why an idea market was needed: to identify the best ideas by leveraging the &#8220;crowd.&#8221;</p>
<p>For Motorola, the value of our Foresight platform boils down to three &#8216;Rs&#8217; in the enterprise:</p>
<ul>
<li>rewards: mostly intrinsic, e.g., collaboration, helping the company, helping others, forming relationships, learning)</li>
<li>recognition: via leader boards in the market and built-in social media tools</li>
<li>recreation: fun, like a game; easy to use with low barriers to entry; competition; social media access to enable &#8220;viral&#8221; messaging.</li>
</ul>
<p>If you&#8217;d like a sense of the kind of bottom line value these three Rs offered Motorola, CFO.com <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/cfo-com-motorola-prediction-market-yields-up-to-10x-value">has covered that topic</a>.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re glad we went to the conference, and we&#8217;re glad that two of our customers are on the front end of innovation through their use of <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/solutions/">Foresight</a>.</p>
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		<title>CFO.com: Motorola Prediction Market Yields up to 10x Value</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/cfo-com-motorola-prediction-market-yields-up-to-10x-value</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/cfo-com-motorola-prediction-market-yields-up-to-10x-value#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Feb 2010 16:15:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rebecca Munn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Customers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CFO.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foresight]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIX]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=617</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<em>CFO.com</em> has <a href="http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14473600/c_2984335">an extensive write-up</a> of <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#motorola">the customer success we've had with Motorola</a>, and we are impressed with Mr. Levy's ability to concisely identify the bottom line value that <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/solutions/">our Foresight prediction markets platform</a> is capable of delivering to the enterprise.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We don&#8217;t see a lot of need for prefatory material here.</p>
<blockquote><p>He [Rami Levy, a technologist with the <a href="http://www.motorola.com/">Motorola</a>'s mobile devices business] says the combined revenue from product-based ideas and cost savings from internal innovations is &#8220;conservatively&#8221; 5 to 10 times TIX administration costs, which largely involve two to three dedicated employees. The cost to purchase and implement prediction-market software — called Foresight Server, from Consensus Point — was &#8220;under $100,000,&#8221; he says.</p></blockquote>
<p><em>CFO.com</em> has <a href="http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14473600/c_2984335">an extensive write-up</a> of <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/customers/#motorola">the customer success we&#8217;ve had with Motorola</a>, and we are impressed with Mr. Levy&#8217;s ability to concisely identify the bottom line value that <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/solutions/">our Foresight prediction markets platform</a> is capable of delivering to the enterprise.</p>
<p>Further, <a href="http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14473600/c_2984335">the article</a> is an elegant case study of the sort of business scenario that is a perfect opportunity for the use of prediction markets, the path to implementation, and the ultimate value.</p>
<p>What we like best about the article, in fact, and consider a true success for Motorola&#8217;s implementation of our solution, is that the value goes beyond raw consideration of the bottom line:</p>
<blockquote><p>But additional, softer benefits were key goals for the program, too. These have been realized through collaboration forums that allow employees to see and comment on others&#8217; ideas, which are thus improved by the crowd&#8217;s input. The forums facilitate people from disparate regions and company organizations forming relationships, working together on ideas, and avoiding duplication of effort, Levy says. Motorola actually introduced the forums in 2005 along with the voting mechanism, but participation spiked after TIX was introduced and continues to rise.</p>
<p>The bottom line, says Levy: &#8220;TIX has proved to be an excellent conduit for enabling collaborative innovation and creating new value for Motorola in a fun and enjoyable way that encourages participation at a minimal cost.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>When was the last time you implemented something for the enterprise that not only created cost-effective value but was also fun?</p>
<p>You can read the full <em>CFO.com</em> article <a href="http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14473600/c_2984335">here</a>, and you can contact us about Foresight <a href="http://www.consensuspoint.com/request/">here</a>. We predict customer success if you do.</p>
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		<title>Consensus Point to host prediction market roundtable discussion in Chicago</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/predictionmarketroundtable11-09</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/predictionmarketroundtable11-09#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Sep 2009 21:20:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rebecca Munn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Best Practices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robin Hanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business value]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=307</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dr. Robin Hanson, Chief Scientist of Consensus Point, and Rami Levy of Motorola, will be discussing the most effective applications of prediction and idea markets in business and government organizations at a lunch hosted by Consensus Point  on November 5th in Chicago.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On November 5 in Chicago, Dr. Robin Hanson, Chief Scientist of Consensus Point, and Rami Levy of Motorola, will be discussing the most effective applications of prediction and idea markets in business and government organizations at a lunch hosted by Consensus Point. Idea and prediction markets will become part of the internal DNA of the best organizations, as these solutions link human capital to organization results by providing leading indicators for the most important initiatives. Rami Levy of Motorola will share the business objectives and specific results of Motorola&#8217;s Thinktank Idea Exchange.  Dr. Hanson will share some specific approaches to structuring effective markets.</p>
<p>Robin Hanson, PhD., Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University and Chief Scientist, Consensus Point</p>
<p>Rami Levy, Technical Lead and Manager, Open Source Technologies team, and distinguished member of Motorola’s technical staff, Motorola, Inc.</p>
<p>For more information, contact Consensus Point at <a href="mailto:info@consensuspoint.com">info@consensuspoint.com</a>.</p>
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		<title>Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster on November 6 2009 in Chicago</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/pmcluster09summitchicago</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/pmcluster09summitchicago#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Sep 2009 20:57:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rebecca Munn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Robin Hanson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[collective intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[idea markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Linda Rebrovick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/?p=296</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Linda Rebrovick and Robin Hanson of Consensus Point and Rami Levy of Motorola will be speaking at the Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster on Friday, November 6, 2009 in Chicago.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>The Prediction Market Clusters in collaboration with Aurora WDC, Consensus Point, University of Chicago Gleacher Executive Center and many others announces the Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster Friday 6 November 2009 in Chicago, Illinois, USA.</em></p>
<p>San Francisco, CA (<a href="http://www.prweb.com/">PRWEB</a>) May 31, 2009 &#8212; The Prediction Market Clusters in collaboration with Aurora WDC, Consensus Point, University of Chicago Gleacher Executive Center and many others announces the Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster Friday 6 November 2009 in Chicago, Illinois, USA.</p>
<p><a title="Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster" onclick="linkClick( this.href );" href="http://www.pmcluster.com/CHI09.htm" target="_blank">Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster</a> The venue is the stunning University of Chicago Gleacher Executive Center in Chicago, Illinois, USA. </p>
<p>Learn how prediction markets, social media and collective intelligence networks are fundamentally altering the enterprise landscape. New forecasting techniques and technologies are driving executive decision making, leading collaborative forecasting and optimizing supply chain management. Engage with experts in knowledge markets that are reshaping all practices of knowledge management (KM), advancing innovation and propelling enterprise knowledge ecologies of the future.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is not much that any of us do that is more important than telling the company what we know.&#8221; Jeff Severts, EVP, Best Buy</p>
<p>We are thrilled several key scholars and thought leaders will join your cluster including:<br />
Robin Hanson, Professor, Economist, Polymath, George Mason University<br />
George Neumann, George Daly Professor of Economics, University of Iowa</p>
<p>In 2004 James Surowiecki published his now-famous book, The Wisdom of Crowds: Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations. For many this milestone introduced the era of collective intelligence for people, business, institutions, the environment and civil society.</p>
<p>&#8220;Thanks for organizing an extremely useful and informative workshop!&#8221; &#8211; Professor Tom Malone, MIT Center for Collective Intelligence</p>
<p><a title="Testimonials" onclick="linkClick( this.href );" href="http://www.pmcluster.com/testimonials.htm" target="_blank">Testimonials</a></p>
<p>New ways to share, trade and aggregate information using Internet-based markets are exploding. These powerful Web 2.0 social media and network knowledge markets help companies, schools, governments and individuals to acquire and master ever-growing bodies of knowledge. These prediction market capabilities achieve mastery knowledge management (KM) and collective intelligence with stunning speed, efficiency and accuracy.</p>
<p>&#8220;Prediction markets are brutally honest and uncannily accurate.&#8221; &#8211; Geoffrey Colvin, Fortune Magazine</p>
<p>New collaborative market mechanisms and social innovations are driving collective intelligence networks. They resolve questions of science, technology, management, strategy, planning and policy far better than experts or management.</p>
<p>Collective intelligence inhabits the ceaseless flurry of self-correcting social exchanges, social networks and collective knowledge markets. They cover everything from politics and business plans to sports and new product features. Enormously potent, these social networks and markets generate new ideas and amass and refine knowledge and collective wisdom with blinding speed, low cost and accuracy.</p>
<p>Collective intelligence networks and knowledge markets have become commonplace in the enterprise. Top firms using prediction markets are Best Buy, Google, Microsoft, Eli Lilly, Abbott Laboratories and Yahoo! to name a few. Major analysts firms declare prediction markets critical to Enterprise 2.0 information and knowledge management portfolios.</p>
<p>&#8220;A company that can predict the future is a company that is going to win.&#8221; &#8211; Bernardo Huberman, PhD, Senior HP Fellow, HP Labs</p>
<p>Cluster sessions are focused, practical and conversational. They are for executives, directors, mangers, users and practitioners having immediate needs to apply collective intelligence networks and market mechanisms to advance enterprise business outcomes through mastery of collective wisdom.</p>
<p><strong>Pricing and Availability</strong></p>
<p>Registration for the Collective Intelligence Cluster is open and available now. All are welcome. The event participant tuition, including full-day experience, meals, refreshments, books, reception and materials is $399.00 Secure online event check-in and registration in advance required. Early-bird registration ($299.00) is open until 30 September 2009.</p>
<p><a title="Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster" onclick="linkClick( this.href );" href="http://www.pmcluster.com/CHI09.htm" target="_blank">Prediction Markets Summit and Collective Intelligence Cluster</a></p>
<p><strong>Collective Intelligence Cluster Sponsors</strong></p>
<p>Sponsors of the Collective Intelligence Cluster are the world&#8217;s leading producers of prediction market software, services, exchanges and expertise. They supply continuous innovation in prediction markets and collective intelligence networks. They include Aurora WDC, ConsensusPoint, Mercury-RAC, Prediction Market Clusters and many others.</p>
<p><strong>About Prediction Market Clusters</strong></p>
<p>The Prediction Market Clusters, founded in 2004, are the global industry commons and open community for prediction markets and collective intelligence networks worldwide. The open, agnostic network is a focused collaboration of vendors, academia, traders, users, developers, markets, regulators and stakeholders. The goal is to provide awareness, diffusion, adoption and pull-through for enterprise, institutional and consumer prediction markets. The Prediction Markets Cluster is the worldwide Next Practices leadership network for collective intelligence networks practices, tools and theories. For more information, please visit <a title="Prediction Markets Cluster" onclick="linkClick( this.href );" href="http://www.pmcluster.com/" target="_blank">Prediction Markets Cluster</a>.</p>
<p>For more information, discounts and to sponsor the Collective Intelligence Cluster, please contact Jennifer Hulett, Tel: 714-458-3826 Fax: 714-572-3742, for details.</p>
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		<title>How Motorola Uses Prediction Markets to Choose Innovations</title>
		<link>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/how-motorola-uses-prediction-markets-to-choose-innovations</link>
		<comments>http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/how-motorola-uses-prediction-markets-to-choose-innovations#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 20:01:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Rebecca Munn</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Best Practices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Customers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Front Page]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[In the News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[business ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[idea market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kristin Burnham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Motorola]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[product ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rami Levy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ThinkTank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIX]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Employees use prediction markets to vote up product ideas and productivity improvements they think should be selected for development]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.cio.com/" target="_blank"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-155" src="http://www.consensuspoint.com/prediction-markets-blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/cio-logo-151x74.gif" alt="" width="151" height="74" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Employees use prediction markets to vote up product ideas and productivity improvements they think should be selected for development</strong></p>
<p><span class="date">April 27, 2009</span> — CIO.com — <strong>The</strong><strong> project:</strong> Deploy a prediction market to aggregate new business ideas suggested by Motorola employees and assess their viability. A prediction market is a system for forecasting the outcome of projects or events based on how willing individuals are to buy &#8220;stock&#8221; in them. Users buy shares to vote items up. Each item is evaluated based on how much it is &#8220;worth&#8221;: the higher the value, the more popular the idea.</p>
<p><strong>Th</strong><strong>e business case:</strong> Motorola sought to allow any employee the opportunity to propose ideas for new products, upgrades to current products, productivity improvements or cycle-time reductions, says Rami Levy, distinguished member of Motorola&#8217;s technical staff and a member of its open-source technology team, which manages the prediction markets for the company. In 2003, Motorola had built a system to collect ideas, called ThinkTank. But when thousands of suggestions poured in, the teams that were supposed to weed through them were overwhelmed.</p>
<p>Using prediction market technology, Motorola could engage employees in the selection process by letting them vote for the ideas they thought had the best business potential. The most popular ideas could then be selected for further study and eventually be developed.</p>
<p><strong>First steps:</strong> Levy and his team worked with a variety of director-level managers, including senior VPs, to secure buy-in for the project. &#8220;ThinkTank was already being sponsored by an SVP,&#8221; he says, but they needed support from others who would have to produce the business-case and user scenarios for new product ideas. That sponsorship was crucial to obtaining cross-organizational participation and funding for the tool.</p>
<p>Once Levy&#8217;s team secured management support, they integrated prediction software from Consensus Point (called ThinkTank Idea eXchange, or TIX, internally), with its existing ThinkTank application. In a six-month pilot during 2007, they experimented with market parameters, such as how long to keep ideas in play and how to finance participants&#8217; purchases.</p>
<p>Today, employees submit ideas to ThinkTank, where anyone within Motorola can vote on them. Ideas that receive at least five votes are eligible for TIX, where each idea is initially valued at $10 per share. Anyone who wants to participate gets $100,000 to start with to buy the stock of the ideas they like best. As employees buy or sell shares, the value of the idea rises—or not. After 30 days, an idea review team determines which of the top-valued ideas to pursue. Winners are judged based on their stock performance, and participants who hold stock in winning ideas get a bonus.</p>
<p>It typically takes 18 months to develop a product at Motorola, so the first product ideas vetted through TIX are expected to come to market this year, Levy says.</p>
<p><strong>What to watch out for:</strong> Market parameters that work in one circumstance won&#8217;t necessarily work in another, says Levy. You have to fine-tune your system to your environment. Motorola decided to limit an idea to a month in TIX to ensure new ideas were always entering the market. Meanwhile, even though employees find participating fun, you need to get them involved and keep them engaged. Levy&#8217;s team ran ads on the company&#8217;s intranet, conducted user satisfaction surveys and incorporated social media into the system. &#8220;Socialize the experience,&#8221; he recommends, &#8220;by integrating user comments, tagging, recommendations and links to other information.&#8221;</p>
<p>By Kristin Burnham	 © 2008 CXO Media Inc.</p>
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